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Playing PredictIt, Episode 1: Day 435
Hey there's a generic ballot market now!
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James J. Heaney
Playing PredictIt, Day 534: Liz Cheney Is Toast
But the generic ballot is fire emoji!
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James J. Heaney
Playing PredictIt, Episode 2: Day 444
Georgia Governor polling, why I believe(d) in the filibuster, and results from last week's generic ballot experiment!
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James J. Heaney
Pay-Listers, What Do You Want Me To Write?
Seems only fair
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James J. Heaney
3
Big Penguin Polling Looks Real To Me
It'd be a lotta work for a grift.
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James J. Heaney
3
Who Wins? A 2012 Projection Based on the Partisan Skew Hypothesis
In my recent (and surprisingly popular) post about the weirdly good polls the Democrats have been seeing recently, I suggested that the polls might be…
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James J Heaney
Expected Spread of Covid (Coronavirus) in Minnesota
People keep asking me how bad this thing could get. I don't think it's helpful to look at the national level, because there is no single national…
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James J Heaney
Expected Daily Covid Deaths in Minnesota (May)
Version 3 of the Minnesota Model was released a few days ago. The model immediately drew skeptical reactions for its prediction that Minnesota would…
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James J Heaney
The Great Democratic Turnout Miracle
During this cycle, likely voter polls have consistently shown more Democrats showing up to vote than Republicans. Actually, that is a bit of an…
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James J Heaney
Why a Tax Protest Against Abortion Wouldn't Work
Someone wondered aloud whether we could stop abortion simply by bringing the U.S. government to its financial knees. All we have to do is stop paying…
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James J Heaney
Worthy Reads: I Really Wasn't Planning to Talk About Student Debt At All But Here We Are I Guess
Worthy Reads for 29 August 2022
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James J. Heaney
Betsy DeVos is Not the Schoolpocalypse
The past few weeks, I've been forced to spend a lot of time playing the game "Not That Bad." The rules of this game are simple: President Trump…
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James J Heaney
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